The Secretary of State - Elections matter more than money

Of the 36 states that elected Governors in 1998, 26 also elected Secretaries of State. The voters gave the Republicans 16 of the 26 Secretaries with less than 50% of the vote. So, except for the aberration of the Attorneys General, the Republicans continued their dominance of the results with a bare majority or plurality of the votes.

Republican candidates for Secretary of State received 20,032,221 (49.4%) votes to the Democrats 18,995,848 (46.8%) with the Independents getting 1,577,891 (3.8%).

The Secretary of State is a more important office than many people think. It usually receives the 4th highest number of votes in any election. In 1998, the Secretary of State's race actually got the most number of votes in Michigan, more than the Governor, Attorney General and House of Representatives. It is very, very unusual for the Secretary of State's race to come first. In three other states: Illinois, Indiana and Minnesota, the Secretary of State's race came 3rd, after Governor and Senator, the House of Representative races, and Attorney General respectively.

In Minnesota, the top three offices were Governor, Attorney General and Secretary of State. They were won respectively by an independent, a Democrat and a Republican. Minnesota voted itself a coalition government of Republicans, Democrats and independents.

In 10 states, the Secretary's race came 4th. It received the 5th highest number of votes in 5 states; the 6th highest in 5 states and the 7th highest in 2 states. The interesting thing to note in this ranking is that both the Attorney General and the Secretary of State races usually receive more votes than the State Treasurer, Auditor or Comptroller.

Like the Attorneys General races, where almost half the winners were from a different party than the Governor, the same was true in the Secretary of State races. In 11 of the 24 states that elected both a Governor and a Secretary of State, the party affiliation of the two was split. In California, where the Democrats were winning landslide victories in almost all statewide races, the Republican Secretary candidate won over the son of former San Francisco Mayor Alioto.

With Humphrey's loss in Minnesota, the Alioto defeat shows that, when given a choice, voters prefer not to have heredity a major factor in political success. This bodes ill for both Gore and Bush. If there is a Gore-Bush race in 2000, the turnout will be historically low and the margin of victory will be very small. The Taft victory in Ohio doesn't really counter this trend. Taft was elected Governor in a year when Republicans were winning Governorships by more than 2 to 1, and Ohio is a traditionally Republican state. The telling fact is that the Governor's race in Ohio trailed the House and Senate races, which is a demonstration of uncommon weakness in that race.

The Attorney General enforces the laws and the Secretary of State's office usually runs the elections. This shows that people consider these functions more important in politics and government than handling or accounting for money. This is bad news for Steve Forbes or anyone who makes money the centerpiece of their political campaign.

Other than running the elections, Secretaries of State have almost no discretionary functions and are basically recording secretaries.

Ab. SoS 98 Bennett (R) Worley (D) Write-in Sec of State 98
621,037 611,519 596 1,233,152
50.3618% 49.5899% 0.0483% Ind. total 596
Az. SoS. 98 Bayless (R) Hamilton (D) Sec. of State 98
577,724 414,987 992,711
58.1966% 41.8034% Ind. total 0
Ark. SoS 1998 Jones (R) Priest (D) Sec of St. 98
211,585 476,005 687,590
30.7720% 69.2280% Ind. total 1.46936793852786E-39
Cal. SoS 1998 Bill Jones (R) Alioto (D) Lightfoot (Lib) Short (AI) Feuer (P&F) Bialosky (NL) Sharpe-Geisler (Rfm) SoS 1998
3,783,665 3,693,927 216,751 100,225 78,798 103,513 72,924 0 8,049,803 (567,846)
47.0032% 45.8884% 2.6926% 1.2451% 0.9789% 0.0000% 1.2859% 0.9059% 0.0000% Ind. Total 572,211
Co. SoS 1998 Buckley (R) Bainter (D) Lloyd (L) Harkins (Const) Craven (Ref) Fraser (NL) SecofState 1998
614,760 563,945 31,765 14,668 16,527 10,234 1,063,272 1,251,899 188,627
49.1062% 45.0472% 2.5373% 1.1717% 1.3202% 0.8175% Ind. total 73,194
Ct. SoS 98 Andrews (R) Bysiewicz (D) Moser (L) SOS 1998
358,060 531,644 9,920 1,022,453 899,624 (122,829)
39.8011% 59.0962% 1.1027% Ind. total 9920
Fla. SoS 98 Harris (R) Gievers (D) SoS 98
2,065,313 1,778,924 0 3,844,237
53.7249% 46.2751% 0.0000% Ind. Total 1.46936793852786E-39
Ga. SoS 98 McCallum (R) Cathy Cox (D) Antieau (Lib) SecofState 98
703,941 983,905 50,281 1,738,127
40.5000% 56.6072% 2.8928% 50,281
Id. SoS 98 Cenarrusa (R) Seiffert (D) Angstman (L) Sec of State 98
256,594 103,423 12,421 372,438 (14,282)
68.8958% 27.7692% 3.3351% Ind. total 12,421
Ill. SoS 98 Al Salvi (R) Jesse White (D) Millatti (Ref) Battaglia (W-I) Sec. of State 98
1,437,420 1,874,626 67,696 229 3,379,971 (161,408)
42.5276% 55.4628% 2.0029% 0.0068% 67,925
Ind. SoS 1998 Gilroy (R) Little (Dem) Dillon (Lib) Sec of State 98
829,750 653,858 52,201 1,535,809
54.0269% 42.5742% 3.3989% Ind. Total 52,201
Iowa SoS 1998 Gilliand (R) Culver (D) Swanson (NL) Blue (Ref) Scattering Voting 1988 SoS 1998
429,899 457,161 9,580 19,094 277 0 0 0 0 0 916,011
46.9316% 49.9078% 1.0458% 2.0845% 0.0302% 0.0000% 0.0000% 0.0000% 0.0000% 1.46936793852786E-39 Ind. total 28,951
Kan. SoS 98 Thornburgh (R) Rezac (D) Roehr (Tax) Rosile (Lib) Sec of State 98
456,391 195,747 47,777 15,109 715,024 507,533
63.8288% 27.3763% 6.6819% 2.1131% Ind. total 62,886
Ma. SoS 1998 Dale Jenkins(R) Galvin (D) Atkinson (Lib) Others Sec of State 98
451,556 1,252,912 86,330 866 1,791,664
25.2032% 69.9301% 4.8184% 0.0483% Ind. Total 87,196
Mich. SoS 98 Miller (R) Mary Parks (D) Spencer (RFP) Sec of State 98
2,055,432 938,557 42,897 3,036,886 #1 office
67.6822% 30.9052% 1.4125% Ind. Total 42,897
Minn. SoS 98 Kiffmeyer (R) Garcia (D) Shilepsky (Ref) Iverson (Lib) Write-in Sec of St 1998
928,576 818,236 192,997 44,663 1,742 1,986,214 (119,129)
46.7511% 41.1958% 9.7168% 2.2486% 0.0877% 239,402
Neb. SoS 98 Scott Moore (R) Bernbeck (D) Miller (Ref) Write-in Sec of State 90
322,340 140,460 35,947 287 581,775 499,034 (82,741)
64.5928% 28.1464% 7.2033% 0.0575% Ind. total 36,234
Nv SoS 98 Heller (R) No Democrat Brost (L) Dickens (IA) Lois Avery (NL) None of These Voting 1998 Sec. of Sta 98
270,024 0 22,798 42,893 24,080 51,763 440,042 359,795 (80,247)
65.6102% 0.0000% 5.5394% 10.4221% 5.8509% 12.5773% Ind. total 89,771
NMex. Sos 98 Duran (R) Virgil-Giron (D) Lopez (G) Sec of State 98
223,415 234,546 27,093 485,054
46.0598% 48.3546% 5.5856% 1.46936793852786E-39
Ohio SoS 98 Blackwell (R) Tavares (D) Martin (I) Sec of State 98
1,754,479 1,377,604 31 3,132,114 (331,369)
56.0158% 43.9832% 0.0010% 31
RI SecofSt 98 Lopez (R) Langevin (D) Write-in Sec of State 98
53,393 242,216 320 295,929
18.0425% 81.8494% 0.1081% Ind. total 320
SC SoS 1998 Jim Miles (R) Fairchild (D) Write-in SecofState 1998
595,328 440,157 568 1,098,484 1,036,053 (62,431)
57.4612% 42.4840% 0.0548% Ind. total 568
SD SoS 98 Hazeltine (R) Sharon Green (D) Winter (L) Sec of St 1998
174,353 70,082 11,116 255,551
68.2263% 27.4239% 4.3498% Ind. total 11,116
Vt. SoS 1998 Jim Milne (R) Markowitz (D) Richmond (L) Dennis Lane(VG) Write-in Sec. of State
R to D 94,635 100,152 6,125 8,347 93 209,352 (11,639)
45.2038% 47.8390% 2.9257% 3.9871% 0.0444% Ind. total 14,565
Wi. SoS 1998 Linda Cross (R) La Follette (D) Carlson (L) Hemenway (T) Mueller (Ref) Scattering Voting 1988 Wi. SoS 1998
660,406 973,744 18,074 17,357 9,906 1,012 1,680,499
39.2982% 57.9437% 1.0755% 1.0328% 0.5895% 0.0602% Ind. total 46,349
Wy. SoS 98 Meyer (R) Mockler (D) Voting 1998 Sec of State 98
102,145 67,511 178,401 169,656 (8,745)
60.2071% 39.7929% Ind. total 0
Total 20,032,221 18,995,848 943,284 263,738 131,423 63,009 103,513 72,924 0 0 40,554,197
49.3962% 46.8406% Inds. 1,577,891

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Contact: Joshua Leinsdorf