Obama Regains Popular Vote Lead on Surging Turnout in North Carolina and Indiana

Senator Barack Obama regained the popular vote lead in his sea-saw battle with former First Lady Senator Hillary Clinton. After handily winning North Carolina 875,988 (55.99%) to 652,994 (41.74%), and narrowly losing Indiana 629,310 (49.43%) to 643,797 (50.57%) Obama’s margin is now 141,661 out of a grand total of 16,403,787 (48.27%) to Clinton’s 16,262,126 (47.85%).

The big story in the May 6, 2008 primaries, however, is the surging turnout. The 33,984,989 votes cast so far in the Democratic presidential primaries is almost 2/3rds (65.89%) of the 51,576,761 votes cast for John Kerry in the 2004 General Election. After getting off to a roaring start in New Hampshire where the vote was 83.42% of the Kerry vote, the rest of the primaries went from a low of 23.98% in Hawaii to a high of 91.91% in Mississippi. The disputed state of Michigan was second lowest with 23.98% of Kerry’s vote and Florida, with 48.14%, was 9^th from the bottom, ahead of Delaware, Louisiana, Washington, Connecticut, New York, and New Mexico.

The first state to see its total Democratic primary turnout exceed 100% of Kerry’s 2004 vote was Texas with 102.76%. Now, both North Carolina with 102.54% and Indiana with 131.38% have joined Texas. Clearly, the voters in Indiana turned out to save Hillary Clinton’s campaign. In fact, the 1,273,107 Democratic primary votes cast in Indiana comes unbelievably close to the 1,479,438 votes Bush received to decisively beat Kerry in the 2004 General Election.

This is a clear sign that Indiana can be brought into the Democratic column in 2008, for the first time since 1964. The reason for this is the draconian photo voter identification law, recently upheld by the Supreme Court, that disenfranchised scores of people on primary day. While the record turnout belied the predictions of those who claimed the photo identification would discourage people from voting, it also proved beyond a reasonable doubt that the photo ID is a solution in search of a problem. Obviously, there had been little to no vote fraud under the previous system, when voter turnout was quanta lower. In elections where the eligible don’t vote, the ineligible don’t vote, either.

The bad news for Obama in the Indiana returns is that they show that Clinton brought out the voters. In the 12 lowest turnout counties (compared to Kerry’s 2004 vote) was Obama’s strength. In Monroe County, which Obama carried almost 2 to 1 (65.31%), the turnout was only 107% of Kerry’s 2004 vote. In Marion and Lake Counties, which Obama carried 66.91% and 56.49% respectively, the turnout was 112% and 114% of Kerry’s 2004 pace. In St. Joseph County, which Obama carried by 52.5%, turnout was 120% of Kerry’s vote. These four counties combined account for 40% of Obama’s vote in Indiana.

On the other hand, the small counties like Knox, Martin and Clay, which Clinton carried 2 to 1, saw turnout spikes of 171%, 173%, and 181% of Kerry’s 2004 vote. The message could not be clearer. It is not the margin by which Clinton carried Indiana that is significant, it is the fact that she was able to carry it at all. Clearly, only Clinton, with Obama as her running mate, stands a chance of carrying Indiana in the November election. Even worse, it shows that McCain will carry Indiana handily against Obama. According to the election results, rural America is not responding to Barack Obama.

In North Carolina, also, Clinton’s vote rose with turnout. North Carolinians cast 1,564,494 votes in the primary, 2.54%% higher than Kerry’s statewide total of 1,525,849. As in Indiana, Obama did better when the turnout was lower. Of Obama’s 222,994 margin over Clinton, 207,138 came from the 1/3^rd of the counties that had fewer Democratic primary votes than Kerry received in 2004. So, 520,162 (59.36%) of Obama’s vote and 313,024 (47.93%) of Clinton’s vote came from these low turnout counties.

In the 2/3rds of the counties where the Democratic primary vote exceeded Kerry’s 2004 General Election total, Obama received 356,064 to Clinton’s 340,329. In Indiana, all of the counties equaled or exceeded Kerry’s vote. Even though the primary turnout was historically high, the turnout in November will be double, at least.

Much was made before the primary of the fact that Indiana was an open primary, meaning any voter could vote in any primary; while North Carolina was a closed primary. The numbers tell an interesting tale. Even though North Carolina’s primary was closed, its 26.91% turnout in the Democratic primary was higher than Indiana’s 25.51%. So, the greater flexibility offered to voters did not result in a higher turnout.

More amazingly, even though John McCain is considered the presumptive Republican nominee, the Republican primary vote in both Indiana and North Carolina was an almost identical 24.38% and 24.48% respectively of the total primary vote. In other words, the idea that Republican voters in Indiana might be voting in the Democratic primary for tactical reasons to pick a weaker candidate for McCain is completely without foundation. The election returns show that voters take their votes deadly seriously and will only support candidates that they really favor. The electorate takes its votes more seriously than Supreme Court justices.

Indiana 2008 Primary Versus 2004 General Election Analysis

Top of Form County Bottom of Form	Kerry,	Badnarik,	Bush,	Top of Form County Bottom of Form	Hillary Clinton	Barack Obama
	John F. John Edwards	Michael Richard V. Campagna	George Walker Dick Cheney		(Democratic)	(Democratic)
	(Democratic)	(Libertarian)	(Republican)				Total vote	Ratio to Kerry vote	% Obama
Total:	969011	18058	1479438	Total:	643797	629310	1,273,107	1.3138	49.43%	14,487
Ohio	1139	23	1796	Ohio	857	279	1,136	1.00	24.56%
Benton	1135	54	2797	Benton	625	557	1,182	1.04	47.12%
Dearborn	6596	117	14231	Dearborn	5270	1780	7,050	1.07	25.25%
Monroe	26965	449	22834	Monroe	10052	18921	28,973	1.07	65.31%
Wayne	10775	296	16586	Wayne	6997	4814	11,811	1.10	40.76%
Orange	2885	78	5683	Orange	2188	998	3,186	1.10	31.32%
Lake	114743	1376	71903	Lake	56770	73693	130,463	1.14	56.49%
Union	1045	33	2266	Union	803	387	1,190	1.14	32.52%
Warren	1356	39	2565	Warren	915	655	1,570	1.16	41.72%
Marion	162249	2376	156072	Marion	62085	127799	189,884	1.17	67.30%
Newton	2032	55	3757	Newton	1590	847	2,437	1.20	34.76%
St. Joseph	52637	659	55254	St. Joseph	30062	33227	63,289	1.20	52.50%
Randolph	3812	108	7172	Randolph	2846	1748	4,594	1.21	38.05%
Boone	5636	192	17055	Boone	3249	3564	6,813	1.21	52.31%
Jasper	3678	103	8056	Jasper	2913	1539	4,452	1.21	34.57%
Spencer	3920	64	5934	Spencer	2928	1835	4,763	1.22	38.53%
Porter	29388	671	34794	Porter	20759	15001	35,760	1.22	41.95%
Fountain	2477	67	5260	Fountain	1835	1204	3,039	1.23	39.62%
Ripley	3510	90	8224	Ripley	2946	1375	4,321	1.23	31.82%
La Porte	21114	552	20916	La Porte	13624	12537	26,161	1.24	47.92%
Wabash	3920	71	9607	Wabash	2769	2095	4,864	1.24	43.07%
Steuben	4345	104	8433	Steuben	3096	2302	5,398	1.24	42.65%
DeKalb	4810	106	10468	DeKalb	3427	2557	5,984	1.24	42.73%
Starke	3987	100	4846	Starke	3581	1495	5,076	1.27	29.45%
Clinton	3335	71	8471	Clinton	2562	1710	4,272	1.28	40.03%
Franklin	2925	80	6977	Franklin	2594	1182	3,776	1.29	31.30%
Miami	3886	118	9600	Miami	3152	1927	5,079	1.31	37.94%
Lawrence	5346	145	12207	Lawrence	4637	2407	7,044	1.32	34.17%
Switzerland	1479	31	2161	Switzerland	1464	486	1,950	1.32	24.92%
Jefferson	5117	91	7763	Jefferson	4429	2332	6,761	1.32	34.49%
Pulaski	1750	56	3797	Pulaski	1409	911	2,320	1.33	39.27%
Jay	2740	59	5427	Jay	2256	1379	3,635	1.33	37.94%
Marshall	5593	130	12074	Marshall	4267	3157	7,424	1.33	42.52%
Fayette	3626	81	5761	Fayette	3267	1562	4,829	1.33	32.35%
Allen	46710	728	82013	Allen	27493	35041	62,534	1.34	56.04%
Huntington	3877	120	11617	Huntington	2907	2286	5,193	1.34	44.02%
Perry	4131	45	4137	Perry	3612	1986	5,598	1.36	35.48%
Floyd	13857	156	19877	Floyd	12334	6452	18,786	1.36	34.34%
Delaware	20436	407	27064	Delaware	14743	12971	27,714	1.36	46.80%
Carroll	2689	78	5868	Carroll	2033	1625	3,658	1.36	44.42%
Vanderburgh	28767	424	41463	Vanderburgh	20324	19031	39,355	1.37	48.36%
Decatur	2621	78	7499	Decatur	2326	1274	3,600	1.37	35.39%
Madison	21882	444	32526	Madison	16888	13188	30,076	1.37	43.85%
LaGrange	2523	50	6430	LaGrange	1918	1559	3,477	1.38	44.84%
Washington	3879	78	6915	Washington	4019	1330	5,349	1.38	24.86%
Tippecanoe	20818	543	30897	Tippecanoe	11945	17004	28,949	1.39	58.74%
Grant	8509	165	18769	Grant	6362	5494	11,856	1.39	46.34%
Parke	2362	59	4550	Parke	2099	1194	3,293	1.39	36.26%
Bartholomew	9191	207	19093	Bartholomew	6902	5989	12,891	1.40	46.46%
Montgomery	3536	96	10901	Montgomery	2534	2438	4,972	1.41	49.03%
White	3277	96	6974	White	2551	2072	4,623	1.41	44.82%
Fulton	2607	63	6027	Fulton	2164	1523	3,687	1.41	41.31%
Howard	12998	275	23714	Howard	10361	8035	18,396	1.42	43.68%
Henry	7176	176	13137	Henry	6724	3493	10,217	1.42	34.19%
Noble	4703	110	10859	Noble	3974	2750	6,724	1.43	40.90%
Tipton	2203	61	5628	Tipton	1848	1324	3,172	1.44	41.74%
Vermillion	3424	56	3536	Vermillion	3261	1684	4,945	1.44	34.05%
Greene	4606	131	8609	Greene	4326	2343	6,669	1.45	35.13%
Owen	2536	68	5000	Owen	2215	1459	3,674	1.45	39.71%
Whitley	3880	82	9512	Whitley	3336	2286	5,622	1.45	40.66%
Wells	3112	72	9168	Wells	2613	1907	4,520	1.45	42.19%
Kosciusko	5977	243	22136	Kosciusko	4528	4169	8,697	1.46	47.94%
Brown	2730	84	4512	Brown	2009	1991	4,000	1.47	49.78%
Pike	2418	49	3745	Pike	2467	1077	3,544	1.47	30.39%
Hancock	6912	179	20771	Hancock	6105	4065	10,170	1.47	39.97%
Putnam	4103	116	8908	Putnam	3354	2691	6,045	1.47	44.52%
Shelby	4519	111	11397	Shelby	4350	2321	6,671	1.48	34.79%
Daviess	2573	80	7936	Daviess	2291	1554	3,845	1.49	40.42%
Scott	3822	54	4793	Scott	4477	1245	5,722	1.50	21.76%
Cass	4315	127	9480	Cass	3976	2513	6,489	1.50	38.73%
Crawford	1932	33	2609	Crawford	2140	775	2,915	1.51	26.59%
Vigo	18426	307	20988	Vigo	16506	11338	27,844	1.51	40.72%
Warrick	8980	108	16930	Warrick	8080	5500	13,580	1.51	40.50%
Elkhart	17966	363	42967	Elkhart	11180	16026	27,206	1.51	58.91%
Clark	17648	194	24495	Clark	18086	8707	26,793	1.52	32.50%
Jennings	3538	115	6864	Jennings	3620	1762	5,382	1.52	32.74%
Gibson	5378	95	9133	Gibson	5524	2676	8,200	1.52	32.63%
Harrison	6171	103	11015	Harrison	6826	2683	9,509	1.54	28.22%
Morgan	6650	182	19197	Morgan	6517	3756	10,273	1.54	36.56%
Adams	3512	91	9734	Adams	3147	2283	5,430	1.55	42.04%
Blackford	1903	30	3447	Blackford	1941	1024	2,965	1.56	34.54%
Johnson	13109	316	37765	Johnson	11536	9188	20,724	1.58	44.34%
Hamilton	26388	608	77887	Hamilton	16491	25350	41,841	1.59	60.59%
Sullivan	3341	52	4999	Sullivan	3652	1796	5,448	1.63	32.97%
Rush	2000	58	5363	Rush	1950	1330	3,280	1.64	40.55%
Hendricks	13548	309	38430	Hendricks	11677	10913	22,590	1.67	48.31%
Posey	4085	68	7833	Posey	3845	2973	6,818	1.67	43.61%
Knox	5649	104	9990	Knox	6407	3260	9,667	1.71	33.72%
Jackson	5092	112	11083	Jackson	5904	2910	8,814	1.73	33.02%
Martin	1522	58	3414	Martin	1692	943	2,635	1.73	35.79%
Clay	3333	80	7361	Clay	4011	2028	6,039	1.81	33.58%
Dubois	5210	116	11726	Dubois	5472	4463	9,935	1.91	44.92%

State Democratic Primary Vote As A Percentage of Kerry’s 2004 vote

Primaries	Clinton	Obama	Others	Kerry Vote		Caucuses
NH- Dem	112,215	104,772	67,081	340,511	83.42%	Iowa
NH Rep	1,743	1,800	1,080			Nevada
Michigan	328,309	238,168	27,931	2,479,166	23.98%	Alaska
SC	141,128	295,091	96,008	661,699	80.43%	Colorado
Alabama	226,504	302,814	10,703	693,933	77.82%	Idaho
Florida	857,208	569,041	299,015	3,583,544	48.14%	Kansas
Ct.	164,831	179,349	6,328	857,488	40.88%	Minn.
Arizona	229,501	193,126	29,260	893,524	50.57%	ND
Arkansas	217,313	80,774	8,117	469,953	65.16%	Neb.
California	2,421,995	1,997,749	258,044	6,745,485	69.35%	Maine
Delaware	40,751	51,124	4,466	200,152	48.13%	Wyoming
Georgia	328,129	700,366	26,336	1,366,155	77.21%
Illinois	662,845	1,301,954	51,317	2,891,550	69.72%
Mass.	704,591	511,887	30,293	1,803,800	69.12%
Missouri	395,287	405,284	19,564	1,259,171	65.13%
NJ	602,576	492,186	25,006	1,911,430	58.58%
NM	73,105	71,396	4,239	370,942	40.10%
NY	1,003,623	697,914	47,296	4,314,280	40.54%
Ok.	228,425	130,087	54,682	503,966	81.99%
Tenn.	332,599	250,730	32,271	1,036,477	59.39%
Utah	48,719	70,373	5,147	241,199	51.51%
La.	136,959	220,588	26,801	820,299	46.85%
Wa.	315,222	353,563	21,481	1,510,201	45.71%
DC	27,326	85,534	589	202,970	55.89%
Maryland	285,440	464,474	8,869	1,334,493	56.86%
Virginia	347,579	623,479	8,492	1,454,742	67.33%
Hawaii	8,835	28,347	179	231,708	16.12%
Wisconsin	452,795	646,007	11,624	1,489,504	74.55%
Ohio	1,207,806	979,025	38,076	2,741,167	81.17%
RI	108,750	75,115	1,132	259,760	71.22%
Texas	1,478,434	1,382,703	49,855	2,832,704	102.76%
Vermont	59,640	91,740	2,962	184,067	83.85%
Mississippi	155,686	255,809	9,256	457,766	91.91%
Pennsylvania	1,259,466	1,046,120	-	2,938,095	78.47%	2,305,586
NC	652,994	875,988	35,576	1,525,849	102.54%
Indiana	643,797	629,310		969,011	131.38%
					#DIV/0!
	16,262,126	16,403,787	1,319,076	51,576,761	65.89%	33,984,989
	47.85%	48.27%	3.88%
Difference	141,661

North Carolina 2008 Primary Versus Kerry Vote in 2004 General Election Analysis

County	Clinton	Gravel	Obama	No Pref.	Total	Kerry		Obama
Mitchell	778	9	422	14	1,223	2,080	58.80%	34.51%
Avery	724	7	417	13	1,161	1,805	64.32%	35.92%
Watauga	3,645	32	4,570	62	8,309	11,232	73.98%	55.00%
Yancey	2,597	38	1,029	96	3,760	4,434	84.80%	27.37%
Cherokee	2,350	36	792	46	3,224	3,635	88.69%	24.57%
Mecklenburg	42,782	354	105,064	688	148,888	166,828	89.25%	70.57%
Caldwell	6,096	139	2,521	217	8,973	9,999	89.74%	28.10%
Moore	5,453	98	6,492	174	12,217	13,555	90.13%	53.14%
New Hanover	13,367	200	18,304	363	32,234	35,572	90.62%	56.78%
Catawba	9,746	107	7,251	188	17,292	18,858	91.70%	41.93%
Polk	1,871	26	1,548	30	3,475	3,787	91.76%	44.55%
Randolph	7,397	158	4,314	206	12,075	12,966	93.13%	35.73%
Orange	11,540	249	27,824	363	39,976	42,910	93.16%	69.60%
Guilford	28,127	557	64,041	1,202	93,927	100,042	93.89%	68.18%
Sampson	3,962	43	5,047	87	9,139	9,649	94.71%	55.22%
Durham	16,601	250	53,096	711	70,658	74,524	94.81%	75.15%
Wake	57,169	608	104,009	1,150	162,936	169,909	95.90%	63.83%
Yadkin	2,269	38	962	49	3,318	3,451	96.15%	28.99%
Forsyth	19,266	251	41,186	407	61,110	63,340	96.48%	67.40%
Macon	3,533	61	1,617	96	5,307	5,489	96.68%	30.47%
Henderson	8,394	77	5,913	125	14,509	15,003	96.71%	40.75%
Transylvania	3,138	52	2,656	95	5,941	6,097	97.44%	44.71%
Graham	960	21	220	40	1,241	1,272	97.56%	17.73%
Clay	1,157	17	399	18	1,591	1,628	97.73%	25.08%
Wilkes	5,515	81	1,987	118	7,701	7,862	97.95%	25.80%
Rowan	7,811	177	8,143	298	16,429	16,735	98.17%	49.56%
Buncombe	22,290	321	27,899	523	51,033	51,868	98.39%	54.67%
Dare	3,190	83	2,617	173	6,063	6,136	98.81%	43.16%
Davidson	9,602	151	7,077	231	17,061	17,191	99.24%	41.48%
Alamance	8,338	214	11,655	375	20,582	20,686	99.50%	56.63%
Alexander	3,356	55	1,090	95	4,596	4,618	99.52%	23.72%
Stokes	3,901	65	1,706	96	5,768	5,767	100.02%	29.58%
Stanly	4,732	112	2,747	178	7,769	7,650	101.56%	35.36%
Swain	1,718	33	630	77	2,458	2,419	101.61%	25.63%
Madison	2,761	33	1,463	66	4,323	4,234	102.10%	33.84%
Pasquotank	2,463	59	4,490	144	7,156	6,984	102.46%	62.74%
Ashe	3,476	51	1,008	82	4,616	4,477	103.10%	21.84%
Lincoln	6,727	113	2,781	144	9,765	9,434	103.51%	28.48%
Burke	8,222	104	3,674	142	12,142	11,728	103.53%	30.26%
Jackson	4,342	75	2,449	165	7,031	6,737	104.36%	34.83%
Iredell	10,065	218	8,344	342	18,969	18,065	105.00%	43.99%
Anson	2,374	46	3,187	94	5,701	5,413	105.32%	55.90%
Rockingham	7,567	222	6,971	466	15,206	14,430	105.38%	45.84%
Davie	2,544	47	1,804	76	4,471	4,233	105.62%	40.35%
Cabarrus	9,875	145	10,648	272	20,940	19,803	105.74%	50.85%
Edgecombe	4,074	110	9,294	173	13,651	12,877	106.01%	68.08%
Hertford	1,460	40	3,944	103	5,547	5,141	107.90%	71.10%
Wilson	5,474	126	9,556	217	15,373	14,206	108.21%	62.16%
Pitt	10,214	201	16,295	414	27,124	24,924	108.83%	60.08%
Scotland	2,861	73	3,849	181	6,964	6,386	109.05%	55.27%
Warren	1,684	68	3,802	93	5,647	5,171	109.21%	67.33%
Hoke	2,050	56	4,142	99	6,347	5,794	109.54%	65.26%
Cumberland	16,134	372	33,193	713	50,412	45,788	110.10%	65.84%
McDowell	4,170	98	1,487	125	5,880	5,330	110.32%	25.29%
Northampton	2,116	61	3,891	101	6,169	5,584	110.48%	63.07%
Craven	6,279	178	8,671	367	15,495	14,019	110.53%	55.96%
Gaston	11,980	175	9,997	279	22,431	20,254	110.75%	44.57%
Union	10,090	118	9,616	209	20,033	17,974	111.46%	48.00%
Bertie	1,821	49	3,554	91	5,515	4,938	111.68%	64.44%
Brunswick	9,104	168	7,216	224	16,712	14,903	112.14%	43.18%
Cleveland	8,425	154	7,211	275	16,065	14,215	113.01%	44.89%
Pamlico	1,185	51	1,330	82	2,648	2,335	113.40%	50.23%
Rutherford	5,765	110	3,113	304	9,312	8,184	113.78%	33.43%
Halifax	4,876	152	7,878	212	13,118	11,528	113.79%	60.05%
Pender	3,685	95	4,053	135	7,968	6,999	113.84%	50.87%
Haywood	8,596	160	3,769	416	12,941	11,237	115.16%	29.12%
Caswell	1,868	84	3,134	142	5,228	4,539	115.18%	59.95%
Montgomery	2,672	95	2,100	152	5,019	4,313	116.37%	41.84%
Harnett	7,106	165	6,058	214	13,543	11,563	117.12%	44.73%
Alleghany	1,703	34	473	57	2,267	1,922	117.95%	20.86%
Camden	854	28	648	52	1,582	1,339	118.15%	40.96%
Wayne	6,783	190	10,402	450	17,825	15,076	118.23%	58.36%
Chatham	6,175	150	8,712	279	15,316	12,897	118.76%	56.88%
Franklin	5,005	120	5,735	172	11,032	9,286	118.80%	51.99%
Richmond	5,037	224	4,262	437	9,960	8,383	118.81%	42.79%
Surry	7,129	101	2,604	133	9,967	8,304	120.03%	26.13%
Lenoir	5,101	130	6,778	257	12,266	10,207	120.17%	55.26%
Granville	4,273	104	6,497	233	11,107	9,057	122.63%	58.49%
Onslow	6,237	233	7,109	427	14,006	11,250	124.50%	50.76%
Currituck	2,167	77	1,231	178	3,653	2,909	125.58%	33.70%
Nash	7,684	183	11,552	333	19,752	15,693	125.87%	58.49%
Gates	1,209	38	1,329	96	2,672	2,121	125.98%	49.74%
Johnston	11,638	265	9,449	464	21,786	17,266	126.18%	43.37%
Vance	4,014	91	6,905	243	11,253	8,762	128.43%	61.36%
Beaufort	4,087	151	4,581	205	9,024	7,025	128.46%	50.76%
Duplin	4,377	104	4,190	222	8,893	6,923	128.46%	47.12%
Washington	1,479	60	2,218	87	3,844	2,969	129.47%	57.70%
Lee	5,288	139	4,193	324	9,944	7,657	129.87%	42.17%
Robeson	12,677	356	9,759	836	23,628	17,868	132.24%	41.30%
Carteret	6,120	133	3,758	251	10,262	7,732	132.72%	36.62%
Chowan	1,472	28	1,652	78	3,230	2,406	134.25%	51.15%
Columbus	8,074	218	5,341	292	13,925	10,343	134.63%	38.36%
Martin	2,937	86	3,707	171	6,901	5,102	135.26%	53.72%
Person	4,060	85	4,048	235	8,428	6,198	135.98%	48.03%
Perquimans	1,341	35	1,242	108	2,726	1,971	138.31%	45.56%
Jones	1,149	31	1,422	63	2,665	1,893	140.78%	53.36%
Hyde	719	31	676	61	1,487	1,048	141.89%	45.46%
Bladen	4,270	151	4,146	284	8,851	6,109	144.88%	46.84%
Tyrrell	630	29	437	63	1,159	731	158.55%	37.70%
Greene	2,184	47	1,953	123	4,307	2,665	161.61%	45.34%
	653,353	12,444	876,226	23,132	1,565,124	1,525,849	102.57%	55.98%
vote from <100%	47.93%		59.36%
	340,329		356,064

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Contact: Joshua Leinsdorf