Kerry Wins in Virginia and the Volunteer State, Bush Runs Third in Tennessee

    Massachusetts Senator John Kerry moved closer to the Democratic presidential nomination by winning respectable victories in two of the states of the confederacy: Tennessee and Virginia.  George W. Bush ran third in Tennessee.

    Kerry defeated fellow Senator John Edwards of North Carolina by almost 2 to 1 in Virginia and by better than 3 to 2 in Tennessee.  It is difficult to understate the significance of Kerry's victories in the south.  For all intents and purposes, Kerry is the nominee of the Democratic Party.  The only question now is whether John Edwards will be the Vice-Presidential candidate.

     Kerry's southern victories show, first of all, that Americans are not going to be divided by region this year, which makes sense seeing as the country is at war.  Kerry's victory in Tennessee (Gore's home state), is a sign that the Democrats are putting the Clinton - Gore years in the past.  The collapse of the Dean campaign, more than anything else, marks the end of the public career of Al Gore.

    So, it's on to November and the General Election.

  Tennessee Percentage Virginia Both States
Kerry 151,436 32.38% 203,486 354,922
Edwards 97,746 20.9% 104,782 202,528
Bush 94,310 20.2% - -
Clark 85,182 18.2% 36,461 121,643
Dean 16,094 3.4% 27,582 43,676
Sharpton 6,105 1.3% 12,822 18,927
Lieberman 3,191 0.6% 2,889 6,080
Uncommitted 7,179 1.5% - -
Moseley-Braun 2,435 0.5% - -
Kucinich 2,277 0.4% 5,074 7,351
Gephardt 1,406 0.3% 581 1,987
Larouche 297 0.1% 1,043 1,340
         
Total 467,658   394,829  

Return to Institute of Election Analysis Home Page

Contact: Joshua Leinsdorf